Category: Geopolitics

Talking Behind Someone’s Back and Fait Accompli

~ quantumdreamer ~ Leave a comment

At the moment there is a bit of furore in the press that Trump et al. are taking with Putin et al. behind the backs of Ukraine, Europe and the UK. They are doing this in the Machiavellian home of Saud.

People seem not to like this yet they talk behind the backs of others on a regular basis. It is a play straight out of the forceful manipulation handbook / playbook, cobble together some cunning plan and then present it to the absentee(s) as a fait accompli. Should they not accept they are branded ungrateful and non-cooperative even if they have to bend over grab their ankles and take it up the arse without lubricant.

The praetorians always know what is best for the plebs. The plebs should thank their lucky stars.

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Behind closed doors cabals are not inclusive. They may pretend and profess to be, but that is bullshit.

These cabals are part of what is euphemistically termed “management practice”. The 1922 committee is an example of behind doors stitch up. I have been on the periphery of such behaviours and perhaps on the receiving end of fait accompli. It is a Don Corleone offer even without the nocturnal equine encouragement.

Wherever actual transparency as opposed to the public relations version of that is absent, gossip spreads faster than Covid 19 at a race meeting / piss up. I saw firsthand on Twitter / X how misinformation and BS spread faster than a Los Angeles wild fire blown by a warm breeze.

A forced “agreement” rarely has longevity. A contract based on gossip and hearsay lacks solid foundations.

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I have never myself appointed a spokesperson or port-parole so if any charlatan pretends to speak on my behalf, they are lying. If someone says behind closed doors that they know what I am after, what I might want / like they are delusional, mendacious and manipulative. Yet I could not stop anyone from casting themselves as such. People may speculate, that is at best inaccurate and at worst dangerous.

Many people are so sure that they know how to sort a situation out, how to bring it to a close. Such premature omniscience is rarely able to hold back adamant opinion. It rarely occurs to these that they may be wrong. One cannot change the view of an adamant dogmatic by persuasion.

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Do you talk behind people’s back?

Do you make cunning plans without inclusive consultation?

Are you a Trump mini-me?

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Putin Must Be Very Happy

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Trump and his pal have done more to weaken NATO than any squabble in Europe. In just a few days he has made it clear that he is an unreliable ally. Trying to force increased defence spending by threat. Slagging people off. He has made concessions on Ukraine unilaterally. He has started a trade war with many including Canada, Mexico and China. Vlad is probably breaking out the vintage champagne. The Ayatollahs in Iran are also well happy.  

ваше здоровье Donald…

To say to Europeans that there is a new Sherriff in town is to make a huge mis-calculation if indeed any were made. It is not a reference which transfers, which is portable. It stems from a serious lack of awareness. Domestically things are not great. Inflation due to trade war may seem short term but it has yet to bite. To threaten the “sanctity” of Stonewall, is unwise. Unrest comes in the warmer months.

If the USA is an unreliable ally, then Putin could well become a reliable one. The cheap Russian gas could flow again to the German car industry. Without Europe sanctions have less of a bite. Trump is making the vacuum.

He is haemorrhaging friends at quite a rate. There is a lot of bravado and considerable complacency.

My dream hints at an American civil war. Divide and rule can go badly wrong…

We shall see how things pan out…

Not a good start…

The Slippery Slope to Totalitarianism

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Postulate:

Humanity has a short memory and fails to learn from the past.

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The Cultural Revolution, formally known as the Great Proletarian Cultural Revolution, was a sociopolitical movement in the People’s Republic of China (PRC). It was launched by Mao Zedong in 1966 and lasted until 1976. Its publicly stated goal was to preserve Chinese socialism by purging remnants of capitalist and traditional elements from Chinese society.

In May 1966, with the help of the Cultural Revolution Group, Mao launched the Revolution and said that bourgeois elements had infiltrated the government and society with the aim of restoring capitalism. Mao called on young people to bombard the headquarters and proclaimed that “to rebel is justified”. Mass upheaval began in Beijing with Red August in 1966. Many young people, mainly students, responded by forming cadres of Red Guards throughout the country. Quotations from Chairman Mao Tse-tung became revered within his cult of personality. In 1967, emboldened radicals began seizing power from local governments and party branches, establishing new revolutionary committees in their place while smashing public security, procuratorate and judicial systems. These committees often split into rival factions, precipitating armed clashes among the radicals. After the fall of Lin Biao in 1971, the Gang of Four became influential in 1972, and the Revolution continued until Mao’s death in 1976, soon followed by the arrest of the Gang of Four.

From Wikipedia

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The first step towards totalitarianism is to purge those who are against you and promote loyal brown nosers and supporters. Sycophantic yes-men are preferred over anyone who queries even if said queries are wise.

The intelligentsia must be crippled and undermined, democracy called into question and belittled. Propaganda is more important than fact. Short adamant statements hook and are preferred over detail.

Any voice to the contrary must be silenced, preferably in public and painfully so.

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Postulate:

The cult of the personality is on the rise in humanity at large.

Substance and ethics are demoted and no longer important. Mini-me types are cloning themselves. We are sleep walking into very retrograde times.

People are easily drawn into group mind which prevents true thinking. Grievance can be exploited to garner support. Give someone an enemy and they will fall in behind you against them. Enemies unite rabbles and crowds.

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Postulate:

Humanity has an anathema for inconvenient truths.

Humanity prefers any story or “plan” which means that they do not have to change their ways. If someone says that anthropogenic climate change is exaggerated that is easier to believe, because they want to. There is confirmation bias. People prefer to stick their heads in the sand rather than change. The bringer of messages which go against the inconvenient truths is a hero, a friend, “I told you so!”

Goebbels comments here on the power of mantra, the repetition of which can be black magic.

Postulate:

There is no such thing as a sustainable quick fix, this is an inconvenient truth.

Immediacy does not solve anything, knee jerks are never considered they are at best reactive.

Focused blame cultures and look-at-me attempts to fix “single-issue” problems are misguided if popular. It is easier to blame external factors than to accept responsibility and work hard at root cause.

Postulate:

China and Russia were never communist despite finger pointing to the contrary. They were / are totalitarian or authoritarian at best.

The bogey man of communism is an American invention, it has never been realised. Western quasi-socialism of the last century is the closest humanity has come to that ideal.

Postulate:

The cult of the personality is a very dangerous and a slippery slope. This too is an inconvenient truth.

There are numerous examples of this cult currently active and perhaps growing in the so-called democratic West. People can get easily caught up in the faux-euphoria of group mind and its sense of belonging.

Narcissists however have absolutely zero notion of loyalty and are fickle, motivated only by their own desires. Supporters are not shown the loyalty expected and demanded of them.

Postulate:

Humanity is again on the slippery slope to widespread totalitarianism pretending to be democracy.

Insuring Against Apocalypse

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“Climate-related extreme weather events will become both more frequent and more violent, resulting in ever-scarcer insurance and ever-higher premiums,” a US Senate report on the insurance market warned just last month. “Climate change is no longer just an environmental problem. It is a looming economic threat.”

The big insurers – State Farm, AllState and Farmers, among others – insist they have no choice but to raise rates because of factors including sky-high construction costs and what they call “catastrophe exposure”, especially in California where they face regulatory hurdles unmatched in other states. The industry points to State Farm, whose credit rating was downgraded last year, as a casualty of these pressures.

The Guardian

“Driven by a desire to maximize profits, property casualty insurance companies … have engaged in a troubling trend of dropping California homeowners’ insurance policies like flies,” said the complaint, filed in San Diego County Superior Court. A spokesperson for Liberty Mutual declined to comment on the litigation.

The inability to get coverage is reflected in the number of policies picked up by California’s FAIR Plan, which as of September had about 452,000 policies, up from a little over 203,000 four years ago. FAIR Plan’s website says its claims exposure is nearly $6 billion in Pacific Palisades alone.

“The situation has been a train wreck coming down the track for a while,” said Rick Dinger, president of Crescenta Valley Insurance, an independent brokerage in Glendale.

Los Angeles Times

“There’s been a mass exodus of big players from the market in these parts of California,” Ben Keys, a real estate and finance professor at the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania, told a conference Friday.

“We’ve seen enormous non-renewals recently,” he said.

On Wednesday, California’s insurance commissioner, Ricardo Lara, announced that homeowners in areas affected by and around the fires would be protected for a year against non-renewal and cancellation of coverage.

This type of measure protected more than a million contracts in 2024.

In 1968, the coastal state set up a public insurance scheme, called FAIR, for homeowners who could no longer find a private insurer.

This “band-aid” was supposed to be temporary while people moved from one insurance policy to another, but has now expanded well beyond its intended use, lamented Keys, pointing out that its exposure had risen from $50 billion in 2018 to more than $450 billion today.

To bring companies back on board, Commissioner Lara has also initiated a reform process authorizing them to increase premiums on condition that they do not apply any geographical exclusions.

France 24

My hypothesis is that climate change will render larger and larger areas non-insurable or exorbitant. As a rule of thumb people lending mortgages require insurance for the collateral upon which the mortgage is based.  

The press I have read today suggest that many US insurers are being more argumentative already about settling claims in full. Premiums have sky rocketed and others are not offering renewals, they are dropping customers with force majeure risk.

I wonder what percentage of LA home owners have gone bareback with no insurance.

Who is going to fund the rebuild?

Perhaps many will have to sell a still smoking plot of land.

Trendy neighbourhoods may lose their trendy status if houses burn down.

Tempest Ciaran caused us around 3500 euros of damage here. The insurers were helpful and reimbursed 80%. But they made a slightly threatening sound that we should make sure that all our trees are safe and tended by experts. That this was our responsibility. We have ~100 trees. The French government allowed the insurers, by decree, to increase their premiums.

The insurance policies will get “funky” said one article. Implying complex wording and perhaps multiple small print exclusions.

There is a non-virtuous cycle, no insurance, no mortgage, no house build.

Places with the street names like Water Lane hint at flooding.

We had to, as a prophylactic, pump out our vide sanitaire, a kind of basement over the weekend. When we went to the local hardware store, the shelf which once contained water pumps was de-stocked.

Water Wind and Fire, water and wind, wind and fire.

I’ll predict that during 2025 there will be even more quasi-apocalyptic events, which will have an ever increasing impact on economies. People will be unhappy that although they live in a risk prone region, the risk materialises.

They will be upset that increasingly they cannot insure against apocalypse.

Lebensraum – Spazio vitale – Hakkō ichiu

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These are terms used by the axis powers of the second world war to justify expansionist policies, land grabs. In which ethnic cleansing can be envisaged and the lower less wonderful, exterminated. The divine right, the sense of entitlement even of destiny are invoked to whip up the crowd, inspire and focus intent. Korean women were there to service Japanese soldiers. Poles were encamped and slaughtered. Sub humans were terminated and eugenic experiments undertaken. Blond Aryan breed mares were inseminated to produce more of the master race.

We have land grabs in the middle East with settlers and people eying up a new home nearer the coast in Gaza. We have Trump musing about Greenland and making Canada a state. The rhetoric though less open and obvious is in a similar vein. I suspect to some the life of a Muslim is considered less important. Many are brown as well, to boot. We are in similar territory to the 1930s.

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“Every prime minister and state president in South Africa from 1948 to the end of apartheid in 1994 was a member of the Afrikaner Broederbond.”

From Wikipedia

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“In June 1918 disaffected Afrikaners were brought together in a new organisation called Jong Suid-Afrika (Young South Africa). The following year its name was changed to the Afrikaner Broederbond (AB). The organisation had one main aim: to further Afrikaner nationalism in South Africa – to maintain Afrikaner culture, develop an Afrikaner economy, and to gain control of the South African government.

During the 1930s the Afrikaner Broederbond became increasingly political, creating several public front organisations – especially the Federasie van Afrikaanse Kultuurvereniginge (FAK – Federation of Afrikaans Cultural Societies) which acted as an umbrella organisation for Afrikaner cultural groups, and took over the original cultural remit of the AB.

The Afrikaner Broederbond, meanwhile, evolved into a highly influential ‘secret’ society. Its political influence became apparent in 1934 when JBM Hertzog merged the National Party (NP) with Jan Smuts’ South African Party (SAP), to form the United Party (UP). Radical members of the NP broke away from the ‘fusion government’ to form the Herenigde Nasionale Party (HNP – ‘Reunited National Party’) under the leadership of DF Malan. The AB threw its full support behind the HNP, and its members dominated the new party – especially in the Afrikaner strongholds of Transvaal and Orange Free State.”

African History on About.com

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The political nationalist far right appears to be gaining ground in a number of places. There is a very real chance that an outwardly sanitised far right party could hold power soon in France. There appears to be in public displays of friendship amongst the right in a number of countries, we do not know what collusion there is behind closed doors.

Ought we to be concerned? Yes, probably.

It appears that we may not have taken the lessons from last time.

I think it wise that the EU develops/has its own social media platforms…to avoid the US near monopoly. I sense that the war against TikTok in the USA is about influence and nothing to do with sale of data and espionage. Silencing it is desired just like Al Jazeera has been shut down in some countries. Russia Today has been off air for a while now.

The propaganda war is alive and kicking.

Amazon is seeking to make a new satellite network, there are robots, drones and AI. Denial of internet service is a very powerful lever.

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Are we getting closer to science fiction – yup.

A thin end of the wedge might seem thin at first but soon it can be driven home.

Peace and goodwill to all men is not apparent in the news as this “new” year starts…

Some Speculations on the Externalisation of the So-called Hierarchy.

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In the blue books opus Kuhl outlines a provisional plan for the externalisation of the so-called hierarchy. As is well known no plan survives first contact intact. The major problem in conceptualising this externalisation is one of timescale. Most people struggle to think beyond the span of a lifetime, some struggle with minutes. What he outlines spans many lifetimes and centuries. He suggests that we are now towards the end of the stage of the forerunner and heading into the initial stages of the externalisation proper. This means that there are probably some young disciples and initiates already incarnate and in the process of maturing.

When I first stating kicking around new age circles in my mid-thirties, I noticed a prevalence of grey hair and a mild condescension towards me, despite the fact that I was a lecturer at a top university. I was a bit scruffy smoked Marlboro and drank Stella. I was not into a cups of tea and cucumber sandwiches followed by a slice of Battenberg cake.

There is a generational problem.

I, for example, don’t get social media and rarely use a mobile ‘phone I am not umbilically linked. Now that the broadband has a landline, I will use the mobile even less if that is in fact possible.

I personally, after living hermit-like, would struggle to relate to anyone in their twenties and they to me.

Many of those who paved the way are getting long in the tooth. I had a look at the board make up of one educational charity, the youngest was six years older than me and all the others were seventy plus. Governance by the elderly without new blood is heading to extinction. It is likely to be out of touch with the times. Staid and dated.

There must be a way of attracting and including younger people if these old organisations are to survive. The basic human problem of personality is that many find it hard to relinquish power. Biden is an example in case.

I’ll speculate that a young upstart initiate will grate against the personality of an older disciple no matter how badly they want to serve. There may be cock waving about initiatory status. Even though Kuhl says that most will be unaware stating that it is only at the third initiation that the initiate is fully aware of the fact and procedure.

How would authority react?

In normal politics one might send Anthony Blinken to discuss with the council of the hierarchy. But I cannot envisage some corporate like entity for him to discuss with. Who would be Trump’s hierarchy liaison pick, Jeff Bezos?

It is likely that suspected members of the externalisation would be kept under surveillance.

It would be a non sequitur that tried and tested “normal” ways of political interaction would be inappropriate. People would struggle to get their heads around just how very different an initiate of high degree might be. There will be transference phenomena in which people would transfer their behaviours and thoughts onto a being which does not share them and whose approach to The One Life is paradigmatically different.

Many of the initial experiments will fail leaving behind personal debris and probably karmic problems. Maltreatment of initiates is possibly karmically costly. Those who are first on the beaches in a landing like Normandy have the highest casualty rate. Slowly through trial and error a modus operandi will be found. Those individuals going first will have crisis and their own progress accelerated.

In my opinion the biggest barrier to a successful externalisation remains orthodox academia and science and engineering in particular. Without the key of proof closed concrete mind cannot be unlocked. I cannot envisage progress unless many incarnate into roles which place them in the academic midst. Those on the second or teaching ray may choose so to do.

“Word” grammar has suggested to me that using phrases which express uncertainty lessens impact. AI is going to be a problem too. Not everything is black and white, sorry Word you are a bit of a knob.

Humanity likes the quick, the flashy and the shiny. There may be an aversion to working across decades to get results, for which there are no like buttons or Trustpilot ratings. Genuine work on self is unlikely to attract a horde of followers or paid subscribers….

Hmn…

Agenda for the 2025 Council Meeting

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Thanks to modern technology there would be no need for the council to use telepathy, there are Teams and Zoom etc.

I’ll speculate on some agenda items, prompted by the previous post.

In the news recently has been the devastating boxing day tsunami in which ~200,000 people disincarnated. This is a reminder that humans are puny on a planetary scale. With advanced nuclear weapons humanity could further destroy the planet. There may not be impunity from planetary process. It is clear to me that those enamoured of/by acquisitional materialism are slowly eroding the effort to mitigate climate change. The effort is being undermined by self-interested parties for various motives.

The most obvious mitigation for planetary heating is a nuclear winter. This would be a planetary response to nuclear war. We are not far off nuclear war. The impact would be global and of a scale not seen since a putative asteroid impact 65 million years ago.

Climate change must be an agenda item.

Humanity has never before been so immersed in illusion and glamour. This is largely due to social media and the petabytes of high definition images and video. This has a massive environmental impact. This is perhaps the biggest problem for the incoming New Age. Humanity is also wanking itself stupid to porn. The first initiation is about getting this kind of obsession under control. There is much work to be done to figure out how to address this.

Gigabytes are peddled alongside fentanyl.

Fear of missing out, FOMO, has perhaps surpassed fear of death.

The United Nations has been severely undermined of late most notably by the USA and Israel. But others like Russia have had a hand too. Responsible intelligent world citizenship has been replaced by partisan interest. An institution forged in the fire of war is losing its teeth. The lead provided by the USA is not an enlightened one.

America is therefore a problem and an agenda item. WTF happened to the USA?

Sixth ray personality at its polarised worst. Luckily the sixth ray is on its way out.

Which is worse antisemitism or islamophobia?

There seems to be an increasing problem with mental health. In the grand scheme of things minds are rejecting modern ways of living. This is probably a good and necessary phase.

People do not realise that debt is bad. Money supply is finite. In the “West” the demographic time bomb is starting to explode. There are not enough people in work to tax to pay for the care of the elderly.

Humanity needs to learn that it cannot have its cake AND eat it. Sooner or later some stark choices will have to be made.

The USA is making a strategic mistake in forbidding sale of high technology to China. It is literally forcing China to develop its own technology. If China invades Taiwan and TSMC stops production the world economy will go into free fall. I don’t think attempts at bullying China are wise.

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There are a number of pinch points which could spark planetary crisis.

The problem of insurance.

People buy insurance in order to get recompense when something goes wrong, when they fail to have life on their own terms. People feel entitled to recompense, to compensation. With increased climate “disasters” insurance costs will mount perhaps exponentially. Some places are already uninsurable and there is not enough money for governments to endlessly rebuild after planetary havoc. I suspect that perhaps it is only the Dutch who are taking flood defence sufficiently seriously.

This mind-set of compensation needs to go. Karma is karma.

There needs to be a massive paradigmatic shift away from hedonistic acquisitional materialism. It is consumption and economic growth which is directly casual of planetary heating. Such a change is unlikely unless there is a major crisis. There needs to be a whopping great wake up call. Cancer is a growth too. The paradigm of economic growth needs to change to one of genuine and affordable sustainability. This growth mantra needs to be replaced.

Seems to me there will be plenty to discuss…

2025 Numerology -First Pass

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If you look at the post previous, 2024 was predicted to be a year of dis-harmony. There was a lot of it about especially in politics, UK, USA, France, Germany, Georgia etc.

Brutal wars continue to rage and divisions, scars, deepen.

2025 is a nine year – positive aspect is completion.

It is a 5 year – freedom and change – 5 is a volatile number. Change can be enforced by karma.

25 is a seven – need for guidance ideally from the soul but 25 is also a dark jewel temptation.

There are two twos – 2 – need for humility and understanding.

The jewel 9, completion, is a swirly number. Bringing things to a sound completion can be very hard and just when you think you might be getting there things open up again and resist completion or closure. It is the Tarot 9.

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This card has a glimmer of light in the darkness of the unknown. We have heard Trump on his soap box, it is unknown what he will actually do. I don’t think he even knows himself; he just plays the crowd for popularity. Personally, I am not looking forward to hearing him, his voice, on the news. I doubt it was “God” who saved him from the bullet. I don’t think Trump bats for God’s team. Certainly not Jesus’ team.

He is in no way a harmonising influence…

For some reason I am getting the feeling of this 1976 film.

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The autocrats are talking and it seems autocracy is a growing phenomenon. Looking forward 2025 looks swirly, unsettled and unsettling. I am not getting a rounded completing vibe; I am getting instability and things going awry. Failure to complete, minus 9.

There are a lot of ageing “leaders”. An unexpected natural or unnatural death could have massive destabilising effects,

9 is the jewel of nagal woman. I am getting a sense of female energy and influence, by Meloni for sure and Le Pen maybe. Meloni and Musk, what could possibly go wrong? Yup I am definitely feeling incoming female energy.

The balance of 7 and 25 is an interesting one. People are tempted by power, to suck up to it. But this is not a very good idea because power has a “will of its own”. The souls might guide that genocide is bad but people are tempted not to speak out because that risks the wrath of the vehement, the vociferous and the powerful.

This balance of listening to the soul and external temptation could be very thematic, for us all. Good versus evil? That coupled with a nine is volatile. 9 is also the number of the world of the sorcerers. The kabbalistic Yesod.

We have perhaps had a first hint of the 5, in Syria. An autocratic brutal regime is gone. With all those displaced Syrians returning there will be change. The brutal stability has gone. What comes out of the ethnic and religious swirling cauldron remains to be seen. Change is a certainty but freedom may not be. I suspect that there will be more conflict.

Turkey is the dark horse here. Turkey is NATO.

The holy lands are a misnomer – the blood soaked lands is more apt. Gaza has become Aleppo 2.0 in terms of infrastructure.

In terms of climate more natural “disasters” might enforce change.

The initial feel is of dragging on and on, no resolution or completion.

I am not getting a feeling of enhanced freedoms in freedom and change. I am feeling that change is on its way.  There will be changes.

The ticking time bomb in the context of a possible trade war is the high burden of sovereign debt owed by many countries.

Hmnn…

2024 Numerology – Written December 2023

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In December each year I take a look at the numerology of the upcoming year.

2024 is 2 + 2 + 0 + 4 = 8.

24 is 2 + 4 = 6

8 is the jewel of awareness, harmony through conflict.

The feeling I get is that conflict will be more evident than harmony. Any harmony will arrive towards the end of the year. 8 may manifest as minus 8 lack of harmony.

4 is the jewel stability which in negative manifestation is inertia.

6 is the jewel choosing between the old and the new, between the apron strings and a new wife. Lack of decision or choice means stuck in the old, not enough courage to choose the new. 24 is the dark jewel fear. Fear can dominate.

I note that all three jewels 4, 6 and 8 pertain to the direction North according to the rule of the four pronged nagal. They are about earth and matter and action. They can also if negative manifest as lack of action.

There are two 2s. 2 is the jewel humility and understanding usually expressed as need for and can sometimes hint at destiny.

The initial feeling is that we will not get the positive manifestations.

There are two brutal conflicts in the current attention of the West, though there are others such as Sudan. One in Gaza has high level civilian death, the Ukraine seems from what we hear, stuck.

The world is caught in inertia, it does not seem to be going anywhere. Which ever geniuses thought that putting a CEO of an Arab oil company in charge of COP28 have a hand in this. The climate agenda is stuttering.

There is material uncertainty because of the dire state of US politics. It is possible that we have a groundhog Trump presidency. It is bizarre that a nation of such inventiveness is so polarised and so very stuck in its ways. That they are even considering choosing between two very old men looks stupid everywhere other than America.  

I see conflict, inertia and being stuck in the old ways as the smorgasbord for next year.

The conflict in the middle east may spread. People shocked at the collusion of the USA and the UK may get so fed up that they take matters into their own hands.

I don’t see much evidence of humility. I see dogmatic adherence to polarised camp forming. I see in the UK government drifting further from populace. It is possible that we have a Labour or in others words a Tory wet government in the UK.

I am not getting a good feeling about next year.

2024 the minus eight year. Written 20th Jan 2024

It is fairly clear to see that war is environmentally hostile. There is a real likelihood that a climate change denier will become president of the USA again. Johnson is brown nosing. He is after something, perhaps.

The abuse of power in Gaza is dragging on. Way back when the initial invasion started, I predicted that up to 1% of the population would be killed. That figure has been surpassed and with 3% of the population injured. 85% of the population have been displaced. It is a brutal vengeance. The myth of a two state solution looks very unlikely.

And the Western governments sit on their hands and watch.

All those deadly munitions take energy to make and release greenhouse gas on detonation. There is an ammunition alliance trying to get artillery shells to Ukraine. Earlier on in the blog I predicted that Russian industry would be directed towards munition fabrication. This a lesson learned by Stalin when the comrades swung into tank production for war against the Nazis. He also diverted his armour, which was facing Japan, towards the West. Production capacity is always a key factor in war.

Two blitzkrieg style invasions have ground on into protracted war and death.

In the UK the navy is facing recruitment problems.

It is pretty clear that Israel did not think things through regarding a “what next”. Waving the flag of destruction of Hamas and total victory, they steamed in angry. They are going to have a lot of Palestinians in camps, refugees imprisoned in their own country.

There will be no harmony. The conflict will continue, harmony is probably now impossible, especially with current rhetoric. The world has gotten drawn into a weird kind of Omertà.

It is like Basil Fawlty with German guests, “don’t mention the war”. The coverage in the UK media is very limited and toes the line. It is quite shocking to see how parochial the UK has become, a nation of shopkeepers.

Mass murder is OK so long as they are Muslim “terrorists”. That seems to be the justification.

Already “whack-a-mole” eruptions of fighting are evident. Will there be a wider conflagration? Maybe.

That sixth ray idealism and blind devotion is having a deep polarizing influence. We and them, friend or foe myopia is setting in. 

If I have one global prediction for this year it is dis-harmony. 2024 the minus eight year.

I am not getting a good feeling about where this year is going.