It seems to me that there are groundhog elements at play. The Roman Empire had an outpost in Palestine two thousand years ago. It had power over life and death. Now the Americans are powerful and have proxy forces in the region. There is pressure to destroy any nuclear capability in Persia even though the whole recent shebang has been started against international law (these days). An act of manipulation to draw the USA in.

Will Pilate {Trump} succumb to entreaty and give them the bunker busting bomb they want or will he revert to trying to solve a diplomatic crisis about Uranium enrichment which he himself precipitated? Will he give succour to Israeli paranoia, cause a regime change and unleash another wave of mass migration?

Will ISIS rise spectre like from the ashes?

What will Pilate do will he wash his hands concerning all the promises he made about stopping conflict?

Will he walk away from Ukraine?

Is he too aloof?

Who will he blame when it all goes pear shaped?